Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes Predictions

Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips for Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes at UFC 304

Where: Co-op Live, Manchester, England
When: Sunday, July 28, 05:00 AM

Tom Aspinall has a golden opportunity to avenge his prior loss to Curtis Blaydes two years ago. The Razor didn’t overpower Aspinall back then. Yet, he simply had the luck that the strong Englishman picked up an injury and had to forfeit the battle. A lot has happened since, with Aspinall reclaiming his spot in the heavyweight division and even taking the interim belt, while Razor blew another chance to get near the title. This might be his last opportunity to win some silverware.

Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes Preview

Tom Aspinall

The Englishman was devastated following the loss against Blaydes two years ago. Still, he used that as fuel and recovered, returning stronger than ever. He would KO Marcin Tybura in the first round in July 2023 and, a few months later, did the same to Sergei Pavlovich, one of the strongest punchers in the division.

Aspinall’s knockout power is nothing short of phenomenal. He boasts 11 of his 14 career wins via knockout. All of them were in the first found, which raises some questions regarding his cardio not being tested.

Aspinall is very skilled on the mat for a guy of his size, recording the other three victories through submissions. When mentioning his previous victims, let’s mention some: Alexander Volkov, Andrei Arlovski, Serghei Spivac, and the above-mentioned Pavlovich.

Curtis Blaydes

On the other side, “Razor” is a fighter who consistently ranks in the top ten but grapples with inherent deficiencies that prevent him from claiming the division. Despite being knocked out by Sergei Pavlovich last April, Blaydes rebounded with a victory over Jailton Almeida at UFC 299.

We must admit that many didn’t expect him to return to the title talks once again. Each time we think he might fall down the rankings, Blaydes pulls out a win that keeps him relevant.

Razor’s struggles against those with one-punch KO power are evident. All four defeats were after vicious knockouts: two against Ngannou, one against Derrick Lewis, and one against Sergei Pavlovich. Against other rivals, Blaydes’ wrestling prowess and superior cardio often compensate for his fragile chin and subpar defense.

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Tom Aspinall and Curtis Blaydes Predictions

The way the Englishman hits is impressive, and we believe that’s why he will win this one. Blaydes won’t have an edge on the mat, and even if he tries to wrestle Aspinall, the interim champ should have the power and skills to rebuff those attacks and maybe even create problems for the American. There’s no need to explain why Aspinall’s chances rise when talking about the fight on feet. Remember that all 11 KOs he posted came in the opening round.

Our verdict: Aspinall wins